// NBA · Thursday 5 November 2026
Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns prediction
Start 9:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Phoenix Suns
- Chance
- 51%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Orlando Magic 104 – 117 Phoenix Suns. Our pick, Phoenix Suns, won ✓.
Recent results
- Orlando Magic: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −6.8 points (L 94–103 v WSH, L 97–108 v BOS, W 121–114 @ TOR, L 99–129 @ TOR, W 111–102 @ NY).
- Phoenix Suns: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −5.0 points (L 119–132 v POR, L 113–116 @ GS, L 120–127 v DEN, L 114–125 @ OKC, W 131–122 v GS).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Phoenix Suns are our pick at home against the Orlando Magic. The model gives them a 51% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
On the rosters we expect, Phoenix Suns rate as the stronger team (87.2 to 83.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Orlando Magic have been losing by 6.0 points a game, while Phoenix Suns have been losing by 6.8 points a game.
Schedule: Phoenix Suns are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Orlando Magic will be without Paolo Banchero (34 min a game) and Jalen Suggs (33 min a game) and Phoenix Suns will be without Mark Williams (23 min a game), Jordan Goodwin (19 min a game) and Rasheer Fleming (17 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Orlando Magic are 2–7 and Phoenix Suns are 3–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Suns beat the Magic 117–104 at home. Devin Booker led them with 30 points and 8 assists, and Dillon Brooks added 24. For the Magic, Wendell Carter Jr. had 27 points and 13 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Suns a 51% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (87.2 to 83.9), and they won by 13. Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs for the Magic, and Jordan Goodwin, Mark Williams and Rasheer Fleming for the Suns, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Magic won the rebounding battle 48–33 and still lost.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 51% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.