Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Recent results

• Miami Heat: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin −1.6 points (L 100–120 @ GS, W 117–116 @ LAC, L 117–138 @ LAL, W 145–125 v IND, W 129–117 @ ATL).
• Sacramento Kings: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −11.2 points (L 109–124 v SA, L 103–116 v LAL, W 115–100 @ DAL, L 105–136 @ MEM, L 120–132 @ NO).

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Preview

Miami Heat are our pick on the road against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 69% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Miami Heat rate as the stronger team (97.4 to 85.1 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Miami Heat have been losing by 3.2 points a game, while Sacramento Kings have been losing by 11.7 points a game.

Injuries: Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game) and Keegan Murray (questionable) may not play for Sacramento Kings. Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Miami Heat are 3–6 and Sacramento Kings are 1–8.

What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until game time, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our top picks: Miami Heat at 69% to win.