Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

Recent results

• Brooklyn Nets: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −2.8 points (L 121–124 @ ATL, W 114–104 v CHA, L 90–103 @ NY, W 98–90 @ IND, L 94–110 v DET).
• Dallas Mavericks: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +5.0 points (W 112–100 v UTAH, L 111–112 @ SA, L 100–115 v SAC, W 116–111 v HOU, W 120–96 v OKC).

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Preview

Dallas Mavericks are our pick at home against the Brooklyn Nets. The model gives them a 77% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Dallas Mavericks rate as the stronger team (91.4 to 84.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Brooklyn Nets have been losing by 8.2 points a game, while Dallas Mavericks have been losing by 1.8 points a game.

Schedule: Brooklyn Nets are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.

Injuries: Brooklyn Nets will be without Mikel Brown Jr. (23 min a game) and Egor Demin (22 min a game) and Dallas Mavericks will be without Dereck Lively II (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Brooklyn Nets are 2–7 and Dallas Mavericks are 5–4.

What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until game time, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our top picks: Dallas Mavericks at 77% to win.