Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets prediction

Recent results

• Denver Nuggets: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +8.6 points (W 114–102 @ IND, W 128–109 v TOR, L 110–118 v POR, W 127–120 @ PHX, W 104–91 @ NO).
• Houston Rockets: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin +3.8 points (L 99–102 @ PHX, L 107–117 v MIN, W 109–93 v BOS, W 119–98 v OKC, L 111–116 @ DAL).

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Preview

Houston Rockets are our pick at home against the Denver Nuggets. The model gives them a 61% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

Denver Nuggets rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (96.4 to 94.1 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Houston Rockets.

Recent form: Denver Nuggets have been winning by 3.2 points a game, while Houston Rockets have been winning by 6.6 points a game.

Injuries: neither team has a regular player on the injury report at the time of writing.

Season so far: Denver Nuggets are 5–3 and Houston Rockets are 7–3.

What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until game time, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.