ProbaLab
← Back to NBA predictions

// NBA · Tuesday 20 October 2026

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons prediction

Start 3:00pm ET ·

Pick
Detroit Pistons
Chance
54%
Light
Red
Confidence
Low

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Boston Celtics 113 – 121 Detroit Pistons. Our pick, Detroit Pistons, won ✓.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Detroit Pistons are our pick at home against the Boston Celtics. The model gives them a 54% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).

On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (89.8 to 89.3 on our team-strength rating), so home court decides the pick.

Recent form: Boston Celtics have been winning by 5.8 points a game, while Detroit Pistons have been winning by 4.0 points a game.

Injuries: Boston Celtics will be without Devin Carter (25 min a game) and Detroit Pistons will be without Taurean Prince (24 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Boston Celtics are 7–2 and Detroit Pistons are 6–2.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Pistons beat the Celtics 121–113 at home. Jalen Duren and Cade Cunningham led them with 22 points each. For the Celtics, Paul George had 38 points and 5 rebounds, making 7 of 12 threes.

What the model got right

The model gave the Pistons a 54% chance at home, mainly because of home court, with the teams rated almost level (89.8 to 89.3), and they won by 8. Devin Carter for the Celtics, and Taurean Prince for the Pistons, both missed the game, as the preview expected.

What didn't work

Not much went against the model in this one. Paul George's 38 points for the Celtics weren't enough to change the result.

Why

The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 54% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

More NBA predictions that day

Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.