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// NFL · Week 9 · Sunday 8 November 2026

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction

Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·

Pick
Kansas City Chiefs
Chance
79%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Injury report

New York Jets

  • Nahshon Wright CB · Out · Back (8 Nov, 12:51 pm AEDT)
  • Joseph Ossai DE · Out · Ankle (8 Nov, 12:45 pm AEDT)
  • Trevin Wallace LB · Out · Groin (7 Nov, 7:52 am AEDT)
  • Garrett Wilson WR · Out · Concussion (7 Nov, 3:16 am AEDT)
  • VJ Payne S · Injured reserve · Knee (8 Nov, 12:56 pm AEDT)
  • Max Mitchell OT · Injured reserve · Concussion (4 Nov, 12:56 pm AEDT)
  • T'Vondre Sweat DT · Injured reserve · Knee (1 Nov, 10:39 am AEDT)
  • Harrison Phillips DT · Questionable · Ankle (5 Nov, 8:46 am AEDT)
  • Braelon Allen RB · Returning (7 Nov, 7:45 am AEDT)
  • Adonai Mitchell WR · Returning (7 Nov, 7:17 am AEDT)
  • Omar Cooper Jr. WR · Returning (7 Nov, 5:24 am AEDT)
  • Breece Hall RB · Returning (7 Nov, 1:44 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Peter Woods DT · Out · Neck (7 Nov, 1:59 pm AEDT)
  • Mansoor Delane CB · Out · Shoulder (7 Nov, 7:29 am AEDT)
  • Omarr Norman-Lott DT · Out · Knee - ACL (29 Oct, 12:48 pm AEDT)
  • L'Jarius Sneed CB · Injured reserve · Knee (1 Nov, 10:04 am AEDT)
  • Nikko Remigio WR · Questionable · Hip (7 Nov, 1:40 pm AEDT)
  • Travis Kelce TE · Returning (6 Nov, 8:39 am AEDT)
  • Rashee Rice WR · Returning (6 Nov, 8:34 am AEDT)
  • Harrison Butker PK · Returning (5 Nov, 5:05 am AEDT)
  • Cyrus Allen WR · Returning (3 Nov, 2:41 pm AEDT)
  • Tyreke Smith DE · Returning (3 Nov, 6:04 am AEDT)
  • Ben VanSumeren FB · Returning (3 Nov, 6:04 am AEDT)
  • Diego Pounds OT · Returning (3 Nov, 6:04 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning

Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:20 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.

Preview

Kansas City Chiefs are our pick at home against the New York Jets in Week 9. The model gives them a 79% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

Kansas City Chiefs have the higher team rating (1553 to 1334), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.

Quarterbacks: we expect Geno Smith to start for New York Jets (107 career starts); we expect Patrick Mahomes to start for Kansas City Chiefs (154 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: New York Jets are 2–6 and Kansas City Chiefs are 5–2.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our top picks: Kansas City Chiefs at 79% to win.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.