// NFL · Week 7 · Monday 26 October 2026
Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction
Kick-off 8:15pm ET ·
- Pick
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Chance
- 52%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Dallas Cowboys 38 – 21 Philadelphia Eagles. Our pick, Philadelphia Eagles, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Philadelphia Eagles are our pick at home against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 7. The model gives them a 52% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Philadelphia Eagles have the higher team rating (1470 to 1419), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Dak Prescott to start for Dallas Cowboys (151 career starts); we expect Tanner McKee to start for Philadelphia Eagles, with only 3 career starts. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Dallas Cowboys are 3–5 and Philadelphia Eagles are 2–6.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Cowboys beat the Eagles 38–21 on the road. Dak Prescott completed 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards with 3 touchdowns, and Javonte Williams ran for 155 yards on 25 carries and scored once. For the Eagles, Tanner McKee completed 23 of 35 passes for 211 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
What the model got right
Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Dak Prescott for the Cowboys and Tanner McKee for the Eagles. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the day.
What didn't work
The model leaned to the Eagles at 52%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Cowboys won by 17. The Cowboys out-gained the Eagles 416 yards to 321. Our team rating had the Eagles ahead (1470 to 1419), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. At 52% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.