// NFL · Week 8 · Monday 2 November 2026
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks prediction
Kick-off 8:15pm ET ·
- Pick
- Seattle Seahawks
- Chance
- 61%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Chicago Bears 34 – 17 Seattle Seahawks. Our pick, Seattle Seahawks, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Seattle Seahawks are our pick at home against the Chicago Bears in Week 8. The model gives them a 61% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
Seattle Seahawks have the higher team rating (1688 to 1591), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Caleb Williams to start for Chicago Bears (40 career starts); we expect Sam Darnold to start for Seattle Seahawks, though he hasn't been their regular starter this season. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Chicago Bears are 6–2 and Seattle Seahawks are 4–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Bears beat the Seahawks 34–17 on the road. Caleb Williams completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards with 1 touchdown, and Rome Odunze caught 4 passes for 87 yards. For the Seahawks, Sam Darnold completed 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
What the model got right
Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Caleb Williams for the Bears and Sam Darnold for the Seahawks. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the day.
What didn't work
The model made the Seahawks a slight favourite at 61%, and that was wrong: the Bears won by 17. The Bears out-gained the Seahawks 363 yards to 252. Our team rating had the Seahawks ahead (1688 to 1591), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. Even at 61%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.