Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

Recent results

• Washington Wizards: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −1.4 points (L 132–139 @ ATL, L 105–120 v ATL, W 103–94 @ ORL, W 95–79 v CHA, L 111–121 @ CLE).
• Oklahoma City Thunder: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin −0.2 points (W 128–97 @ MEM, W 124–116 v CLE, W 117–112 @ CLE, L 98–119 @ HOU, L 96–120 @ DAL).

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Oklahoma City Thunder are our pick at home against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 87% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Oklahoma City Thunder rate as the stronger team (89.5 to 86.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Washington Wizards have been losing by 5.8 points a game, while Oklahoma City Thunder have been winning by 5.4 points a game.

Schedule: Washington Wizards are on the second night of a back-to-back and Oklahoma City Thunder are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.

Injuries: Washington Wizards will be without Anthony Davis (33 min a game), Jamir Watkins (24 min a game), Justin Champagnie (19 min a game) and Tristan Vukcevic (17 min a game) and Oklahoma City Thunder will be without Jalen Williams (32 min a game), Chet Holmgren (30 min a game), Jaylin Williams (18 min a game) and Cason Wallace (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Washington Wizards are 4–6 and Oklahoma City Thunder are 8–2.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.