// NBA · Sunday 1 November 2026
Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction
Start 9:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chance
- 66%
- Light
- Super
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Toronto Raptors 125 – 131 Los Angeles Lakers. Our pick, Los Angeles Lakers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Toronto Raptors: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +10.6 points (L 114–121 v ORL, W 129–99 v ORL, L 94–117 @ MIN, W 112–102 @ WSH, W 135–92 v CHI).
- Los Angeles Lakers: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +1.8 points (L 95–112 @ GS, W 103–87 @ LAC, L 129–136 v POR, W 132–123 @ UTAH, W 125–117 v LAC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Lakers are our pick at home against the Toronto Raptors. The model gives them a 66% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.
On the rosters we expect, Los Angeles Lakers rate as the stronger team (97.5 to 88.8 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Toronto Raptors have been winning by 5.9 points a game, while Los Angeles Lakers have been winning by 1.6 points a game.
Injuries: Toronto Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard (26 min a game) and Los Angeles Lakers will be without Ziaire Williams (29 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Toronto Raptors are 5–4 and Los Angeles Lakers are 8–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Lakers beat the Raptors 131–125 at home. Luka Doncic led them with 45 points, 15 rebounds and 6 assists, making 8 of 12 threes, and Austin Reaves added 19. For the Raptors, Scottie Barnes had 29 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Lakers a 66% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (97.5 to 88.8), and they won by 6. Kawhi Leonard for the Raptors, and Ziaire Williams for the Lakers, both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Recent form favoured the Raptors (the Lakers had been winning by 1.6 points a game, the Raptors winning by 5.9), and that didn't carry over. Scottie Barnes's 29 points for the Raptors weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 66%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.